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Friday, May 16, 2008

 

ENTHUSIASMS &FOREBODINGS
By Rene Q. Bas
Pakistan ironies


MOST of those who love Pakistan and wish it would become an economically successful country—with prosperous citizens and businesses growing steadily—blame political instability (whatever is the reason) for low domestic and foreign investor confidence.

Yet, as in the Philippines, resident foreigners and investors love the Westernized press, whose editors and columnists behave as if they would not be treated shabbily by the administration’s police and national security forces.

Definitely the press in Pakistan is the freest in any Muslim-majority country

The generally fair elections in Pakistan last February resulted in a National Assembly (the lower house of parliament) dominated by the opposition. A coalition government was formed by the socialist People’s Party of Pakistan (PPP) founded by Zulficar Ali Bhutto. He was seen as a world leader and made me think of him as a combined Marcos and Lee Kuan Yew (except that he was a socialist of the mold of Britain’s ‘Old’ Labor—not Tony Blair’s and now Gordon Brown’s ‘New’ Labor). 

Everyone cheered for Pakistan when the PPP formed a coalition government with the PML-Nawaz group and other parties. What united them was their opposition to President Pervez Musharraf. 

Many see the world being safer from terrorism of the Al-Qaeda varieties with President Musharraf still in the saddle in Pakistan but moderated by the democratically elected National Assembly.

But political instability reared its head again last week.

The second biggest group of MPs in the National Assembly—the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz group withdrew from the coalition. But Nawaz Sharif, the PML-N leader and former prime minister, announced that his party was not going to fight the PPPP-led coalition.

This dashed the hope of those who were hoping for miracles to happen. The big hope was that the coalition government led by the heirs of Ali Bhutto and peopled by the socialist Bhutto’s old enemies—Nawaz Sharif’s conservatives in the PML-N—would work together with President Musharraf and make Pakistan develop as amazingly as India.

Knowledgeable observers more or less expected Nawaz Sharif to desert the coalition government formed in March 2008, which seemed to be charting a course of cooperation with Musharraf. Nawaz could not swallow especially the coalition’s going along with Musharraf’s decision to fire judges and justices who were against him. 

These justices were not only questioning the legitimacy of the Musharraf presidency and his acts. They would also reverse earlier decisions dissolving charges against such people as the Bhuttos and socialist-minded officials who had sequestered industries and businesses including those of the Sharif family.

Sharif was head of government, as prime minister, when Pervez Musharraf pulled a military coup in 1999. Earlier Sharif had made Musharraf Pakistan’s army chief. But the buzz grew stronger that there was going to be a coup. So Sharif fired Musharraf on October 12, 1999 when Sharif was out of the country. Musharraf took a commercial flight to return to Pakistan and to keep him from landing ordered the Karachi airport closed.  But Musharraf had meanwhile spoken to his generals. These moved swiftly and took over the country, kicked out the Sharif government and hailed Musharraf as the new leader in control of the nation.

When Nawaz second term as prime minister ended, he had the distinction of having dismissed a president, a chief justice, an army chief and a navy chief of Pakistan. He is also remembered for being the prime minister on May 28, 1998, when Pakistan carried out nuclear tests in response to India’s nuclear tests two weeks earlier. But it was Ali Bhutto who launched Pakistan’s nuclear capability two decades before.

Nawaz was imprisoned, tried by Pakistan’s Anti-Terrorism Court, which gave him a life sentence for hijacking and terrorism for refusing to allow the airliner Musharraf was in to land in Karachi and ordering it diverted to another airport. Musharraf’s military government commuted his sentence from life in prison to exile in Saudi Arabia.

Musharraf let Sharif’s family go with him. His family then formed an anti-military-rule alliance with the PML’s old foes, the Bhutto’s socialist Pakistan Peoples Party.

Their opposition through the years finally resulted in Musharraf remaining as president but quitting his position as chief of the military. And finally in, February, they won in the National Assembly elections against parties loyal to Musharraf and the military.

There are other ironies.

Sharif’s father, Muhammad Sharif, was a businessman who owned a group of industries that rose in prominence and profitability during the reign the military dictator, Gen. Muhammad Zia ul Haq, who nursed Nawaz Sharif’s political career. It was Gen. Zia who had arrested former prime minister and former president Zulficar Ali Bhutto, founder of the socialist Pakitsan People’s Party. It was also Zia who upheld the death sentence on Bhutto, who was hanged on April 4, 1979.

Today, the Bhuttos and PPPP appear to be closer to President Musharraf—and therefore to the military—than Sharif and his PML-N who were friends of the military dictator Gen. Muhammad Zia al-Huq.

The talk is that the PPP-led coalition will work productively with Musharraf until his term ends. And then there will be elections. This prospect appears to be satisfactory to the United States and the other Western powers.

rqb@manilatimes.net
rq_bas@yahoo.com

   
 

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