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Thursday, May 22, 2008

 

Oil Price Nears $130 Per Barrel, 
Driven By Fears About Supply


LONDON: Oil prices headed toward a record high of $130 a barrel on Wednesday on anxiety about stretched supplies in the face of strong demand for energy, analysts said.

New York’s main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for July delivery, rose 35 cents to $129.33 a barrel. On Tuesday, it reached an all-time high of $129.60.

London’s Brent crude contract for July showed a gain of 46 cents to $128.30 a barrel on Wednesday after spiking to a record summit of $128.53 earlier in the day.

The market was awaiting the latest weekly snapshot of energy inventories in the United States—the world’s biggest consumer of oil—to be published by the US government on Wednesday.

Tony Nunan, of Mitsubishi Corp.’s international petroleum business, said concerns over supplies not keeping up with demand were driving prices higher.

“The market is technically and fund-driven right now,” he said Wednesday, referring to investors buying into oil in hopes for higher returns.

David Moore, a commodity strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said a weaker US dollar and “the recent trend for analysts to revise higher their oil price forecasts” are helping to push up prices.

Moore added there were reports that the need for diesel-fuelled power generation in earthquake-affected areas of China was boosting demand for the fuel.

The Chinese government said Tuesday the death toll from the earthquake that devastated the nation’s southwest on May 12 had risen to 40,075.

Despite calls by the United States for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to raise output to cool prices, its president, Chakib Khelil, said Monday that the oil cartel would take no decision on production before a meeting in September.

Analysts said a decision by Saudi Arabia to raise output had not done much to lower crude prices. Many OPEC officials argue that record oil prices are being driven by speculators seizing on geopolitical unrest, such as in Nigeria – Africa’s biggest exporter of crude.

Eric Wittenauer, analyst at Wachovia Securities, said reports about growing tensions between Washington and Tehran heightened concerns about a conflict that could affect oil supplies in Iran and the wider Middle East.

He said the market reacted to an article in the Jerusalem Post that said US President George W. Bush “intends to attack Iran before the end of his term.”

“We have certainly not ruled out the possibility of conflict later this year,” Wittenauer said.

In Washington, the House of Representatives passed a bill on Tuesday authorizing the federal government to sue OPEC in US courts over alleged price fixing, in the latest swipe at the cartel over skyrocketing oil prices.

However, Bush has threatened to veto the legislation, although its margin of passage in the House suggested Democrats may get a two-thirds majority needed to sustain the largely symbolic measure.

Oil prices have jumped more than a quarter since the start of 2008, when they struck $100 a barrel for the first time.

In the Philippines

In Manila, a leading opposition senator urged President Gloria Arroyo to heed the growing clamor for the suspension of the extend value added tax on oil products.

In a press release, Senator Mar Roxas 2nd said, “The clamor for immediate relief is getting louder and louder as the prices of food, oil and other basic needs is getting higher and higher. It’s clearer that now is the time for the President to heed this call.”

“The disposable incomes of our people continue to shrink due to the high cost of food, oil, energy and their other daily needs. If we don’t heed this cry for immediate relief, our economy is in danger of slowing down.”

The proposal is gaining adherents even among Mrs. Arroyo’s followers

“We now have the ways and means committee chairmen of both House and Senate in favor of immediate relief for our countrymen,” Roxas added. “I ask my other colleagues to have an open mind and consider this proposal, for the sake of our consumers.”

   

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Severino O. Frayna Jr., Benjie Dela Rosa
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