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Saturday, November 08, 2008

 

‘Kabayan’ leads new SWS poll


Nearly one in three Filipinos prefer Vice President Noli “Kabayan” de Castro to succeed President Gloria Arroyo when her term ends in 2010, according to the latest survey to determine the leading aspirants to Malacañang.

But de Castro’s popularity alone may not be enough to clinch the endorsement of the ruling political party, the Lakas-Christian Muslim Democrats (Lakas-CMD), a senator said.

De Castro topped the latest Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey, with 29 percent of the respondents picking him as their choice for the next president. But his numbers have been declining in previous SWS surveys, 35 percent in the poll released in March 2008 and 31 percent in June.

Senate President Manny Villar Jr. was the second-most popular with 28 percent, then Senator Loren Legarda with 26 percent.

Villar’s numbers have been increasing in previous SWS surveys this year, 17 percent in March and 25 percent in June.

De Castro, Villar and Legarda have consistently topped SWS surveys and other polls of likely presidential candidates in 2010.

According to the SWS, no list of names was provided to prompt the respondents, who were asked to name three persons.

The others mentioned by respondents were Senator Panfilo Lacson, who was named by 17 percent of those polled; Senator Francis Escudero, 16 percent; former President Joseph Estrada, 13 percent; and Senator Manuel “Mar” Roxas 2nd, 13 percent.

SWS added that other names received 1 percent each: President Arroyo, Chairman Bayani Fernando of the Metro Manila Development Authority (MMDA), Senator Antonio Trillanes 4th, Senator Juan Ponce Enrile, Senator Francis “Kiko” Pangilinan, Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago, Senator Richard Gordon, Senator Jinggoy Estrada, Pangasinan Rep. Jose de Venecia Jr., Senator Jamby Madrigal and Senator Pia Cayetano.

“Compared to the previous quarter, those with an increase in mentions were Senate President Villar by 3 points, Sen. Escudero by 2 points, former President Estrada by 2 points and Sen. Lacson by 1 point,” SWS reported.

The latest SWS survey was conducted from September 24 to 27, using face-to-face interviews of 1,500 adults nationwide.

Errors of margin are plus or minus 2.5 percent for national percentages, plus or minus 6 percent for Metro Manila, Visayas and Mindanao, and plus or minus 4 percent for the balance of Luzon—which refers to the regions in the largest Philippine island except the National Capital Region, or Metro Manila.

Party endorsement

Vice President de Castro may have topped the latest SWS survey but he still has to earn the support of Lakas, Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri said also on Friday.

For now, the party is leaning toward Villar, who is also president of the Nacionalista Party and Senators Legarda and Escudero, both of the Nationalist People’s Coalition.

Zubiri, Lakas secretary general, said that while de Castro is with the administration, he had never exerted any effort to communicate with leaders of the administration party.

“He would not even text us, and a text message costs only P1. He has never sent us any greeting card. So, it would be very difficult if he wants to become the administration candidate,” Zubiri said.

The senator described de Castro as a friend, adding that this does not change the political reality that politicians want to be courted and hate being ignored.

“This should serve as a warning to the Vice President,” Zubiri added. “He should touch base with administration lawmakers, governors and mayors if he wants to be the administration candidate.”

De Castro, an independent, had refused calls for him to join the ruling party. He said it was too early to talk about politics and that he preferred to remain focused on his work. There were comments that he did not want to be identified with Lakas, much less as an administration candidate.

But Zubiri said de Castro has much to lose by alienating Lakas. “For whatever it is worth, a strong local machinery can still deliver at least 8 [percent] to 10 percent of the votes.”

Thankful VP

Meanwhile, de Castro expressed his thanks to the people for their continued trust and confidence in him as shown by the SWS survey.

“I appreciate their support and view it as an appreciation of my sincerity to seek solutions to their problems. I assure them that I will even double my efforts in serving them,” de Castro said in a press statement.

He added that he would continue to uphold the highest standards of public service, “knowing that the public office is a public trust.”

“During these times of difficulty, nothing is more important to me than to continue serving our people faithfully and maintaining the trust the underprivileged masses have given me since I entered public service,” he said.
--Rommel C. Lontayao and Efren L. Danao

   

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