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Wednesday, October 01, 2008

 

McCain struggles as crisis boosts Obama


RENO, Nevada: The financial crisis convulsing Congress, Wall Street and the economy at large is a dramatic real-time test of presidential caliber—and Barack Obama appears to be besting John McCain.

As the House of Representatives threw out an enormous bailout bill Tuesday, the latest polls showed the Democrat Obama building a dominant lead over his Republican rival in the November 4 election.

“Pretty clearly if the question [for voters] is the economy, the answer is Obama,” argued William Galston, a former White House adviser who analyzes presidential politics at Washington’s Brookings Institution.

“Every day spent talking about any aspect of the economy is a good day for Senator Obama, and a bad day for Senator McCain,” he said.

From the campaign trail, the two rivals scrambled to respond after the government’s $700-billion economic intervention was shot down by rebel Republicans and a smaller number of Democrats.

Minutes after the House vote, Obama told voters in Colorado: “There’s going to be some bumps, and trials and tribulations, and ups and downs, before we get this rescue package done.”

Aides to both White House candidates said they would return to Washington, D.C. when and if the Senate takes up the bill.

But uncertainty about the way forward sparked a bloodbath on global bourses, with an astonishing $1.2 trillion wiped off New York’s market value alone. (See related stories on front page and B2.)

“One of my messages I have to Congress is, get this done. Democrats, Republicans, step up to the plate and get it done,” Obama said.

No time for blame

While the Democrat appealed for calm from panicked investors, McCain a couple of hours later also urged Congress to get back to work on the bailout.

“Senator Obama and his allies in Congress infused unnecessary partisanship into the process,” he told reporters, before adding: “Now is not the time to fix the blame. It’s time to fix the problem.”

Thus played out the rivals’ signature approaches of the past fortnight—Obama attempting to exude a level-headed tone of calm under fire, McCain mixing it up with an action-man style befitting the “maverick” former Navy pilot.

Obama aides now routinely use the word “erratic” to describe the 72-year-old McCain’s handling of the financial crisis.

At first the Republican said the economy was fundamentally “strong,” but within days was announcing that he was suspending his campaign to rush back to Washington to help fix the crisis.

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney went on NBC early Monday to declare that without McCain’s leadership, no deal would have emerged. But two-thirds of House Republicans went on to ignore his appeals to pass the bill.

No drama approach

Obama, 47, believes meanwhile that his “no drama” approach will resonate with voters hungering for a more considered mode of leadership after eight years of President George W. Bush.

The contrast was stark at Friday’s first presidential debate, with McCain on nonstop attack as he battled to overcome his polling deficit, and Obama trying to engage with his opponent.

Latest surveys

New polls Monday took account of McCain’s campaign suspension, which Democrats said never actually happened, the frantic negotiations in Congress and the first debate in Mississippi.

Gallup’s latest tracking poll had Obama on 50 percent to 42 percent for McCain. Rasmussen also had Obama on 50 percent, but McCain doing better on 45 percent.

In its own new poll, the Los Angeles Times said “Obama has made strides in convincing Americans that he can handle the toughest challenges facing the country, including the financial meltdown and international crises.”

For many commentators, McCain’s surprise dash to Washington, D.C. last week was an impetuous action whose risks are now evident after the emergency bill failed in the House of Representatives.

“If he ends up losing the election, this will be remembered as a colossal blunder. The fact that it blew up in his face doesn’t look good,” said Linda Fowler, professor of government at Dartmouth College.

“It wasn’t necessarily an act of desperation, but I think it will remind people that his shoot-from-the-hip, Navy-fighter style isn’t always a good thing,” she said.

Obama wins debate

The LA Times also said the debate appears to have helped Obama slightly widen a lead over his Republican opponent as a post-debate LA Times/Bloomberg survey shows.

Registered voters who watched the debate preferred Obama, 49 percent to 44 percent, according to the poll taken over three days after the showdown in Oxford, Mississippi. The same survey also said 46 percent of debate-watchers believed the Democrat was more “presidential,” compared with 33 percent for the Republican.

The USA Today said the first debate helped Obama slightly expand his support as a USA Today/Gallup poll taken on September 27 picked Obama over McCain when asked which candidate offered the best proposals to solve the country’s problems, 52 percent to 35 percent.

But in a countervailing view, the Washington Post thought Obama “may have won the polls after Friday’s debate here at the University of Mississippi, but the McCain team won the spin war.”
--AFP With Xinhua

   

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