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Tuesday, September 30, 2008

 

MEN & EVENTS
By Alito L. Malinao
Is the Cold War back?


The visit over the weekend of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez to Moscow, the third in just over a year, has revived fears of a resurgence of American-Russian confrontation reminiscent of the Cold War from the mid-1940s to the early 1990s. Chavez, a long-standing opponent of the United States, who has once referred to US President Bush as “the devil,” is working to strengthen military alliance with Russia amidst growing tension between Washington and Moscow over the recent Russia-Georgia war in South Ossetia.

Last week, Russia sent two long-range bombers and a flotilla of its own warships to Venezuela for military exercises. It was the first Russian naval deployment to the Caribbean since the Cold War, another gesture that would certainly anger Washington.

The Kremlin, with its surging economy brought about by huge oil revenues, has stepped-up contacts with Venezuela, Cuba and other Latin American nations.

Wire reports said intensifying contacts by Russia with Venezuela appear to be the Kremlin’s response to the US dispatch of warships to deliver aid to Georgia during the siege of South Ossetia, whose move for independence from Georgia is being supported by Moscow.

“It’s a show of the Kremlin irritation about the US deployment to Georgia. It’s a signal to the US: you have broken into our zone of influence and we will show you that we can enter yours,” AP quoted independent military analyst Alexander Golts as saying.

Moscow has also strongly criticized the installation by the US in August this year of a defense missile system in Poland. This act, it said, would upset the military balance in Europe.

Russia said that this provocative act is actually aimed at the Russian territory and “would not go unpunished.”

Chavez, who has openly adopted the ailing Cuban dictator Fidel Castro as his role model, has said that Latin American needs Russia’s strong friendship “to help reduce US influence and keep peace in the region.”

Since 2005, Venezuela, an oil-exporting country like Russia, has signed weapons contract worth more than $4.4 billion with Moscow for the supply of Russian built fighter jets, helicopters and 100,000 Kalashnikov assault rifles.

During his latest Russian visit, Chavez secured the promise of a $1 billion credit from Russia for the purchase of Russian antiaircraft systems, ar­mored personnel carriers, aircraft and even submarines.

Chavez was also the special guest of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev during a Russian military exercise involving warplanes and armored vehicles in the Orenburg region, which the Russian television described as the largest since the Soviet era.

Both Medvedev and Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin have pledged to provide Cha­vez with all his military and energy needs, including nuclear technology.

Russia is already providing Iran, another arch enemy of the US, with technology and equipment for its nuclear program which the US fears would eventually be used for non-peaceful purposes.

Déjà vu

There are no indications as of now that Russia would have a permanent military presence in Venezuela but if this happens, then it could resurrect the specter of another tense military confrontation in Latin America, similar to the Cuban missile crisis of October 1962.

It was during this period that the world watched in terror as the US and the Soviet Union moved to the edge of a nuclear war. As recounted by Seymour Hersh in his book, “The Dark Side of Camelot,” that period was John F. Kennedy’s greatest triumph as president.

Hersh writes: “Nikita Khrush­­chev had been caught in the act of arming Fidel Castro with Soviet nuclear missile and, confronted by the steely young American president, backed down and agreed to take them out.”

According to Hersh, at the height of the crisis, Kennedy mobilized a vast army of men and materiel poised to attack Cuba and perhaps trigger a nuclear holocaust. The invasion plan called for the largest drop of US paratroopers since the Battle of Normandy in l944.

The Russian medium-range missiles in Cuba were discovered on October 15, l962; on October 28, or 13 days later, Khrushchev capitulated and ordered the removal of the missiles.

In his book, “A Thousand Days,” Arthur Schlesinger writes: “it was this combination of toughness and restraint, of will, nerve and wisdom, so brilliantly controlled, so matchlessly calibrated, that dazzled the world . . . The 13 days gave the world—even the Soviet Union—a sense of Ame-rican determination and responsibility in the use of power which, if sustained, might indeed become a turning point in the history of the relations between east and west.”

Later in discussing Khrushchev with friends, according to Hersh, Kennedy has his own summary of the aftermath: “I cut his balls off.”

With this development in Venezuela, are we going to witness another gut-wrenching confrontation between the two countries?

opinion@manilatimes.net

   
 

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