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Tuesday, January 06, 2009

 

Local shares, peso up on first day of trading

By Chino S. Leyco, Reporter
 
Local share prices rallied on the first trading day of the year but analysts said the market would remain murky for the rest of the week.

At the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE), the composite index closed 5.44 percent o 101.84 points higher to 1,974.69 on Monday, while the broader all-share index climbed 3.7 percent or 44.4 points to 1,241.39.

Gainers outpaced losers 78 to16 while the share prices of 23 companies were unchanged. The total volume traded reached 640.93 million shares valued at around P1.445 billion.

The local bourse was closed for 12 days, starting December 25, as the country celebrated a long Christmas holiday that lasted until the New Year.

Erwin Balita, SB Equities Inc. research manager, said the sharp climb on Monday was not surprising, as “it is usually happening in January, where people are hopeful for 2009.”

“People are hopeful after the disaster in 2008, they believe that this year will be better than last year,” he added.

Despite the rally, Balita warned that it is still early to say if the market can sustain this gains for the rest of the week.

While the PSE was closed for almost two weeks, there have been improvements in other Asian bourses and Wall Street started the year on a positive note.

“The gains in Wall Street also have some effects in the local market,” the analyst said.

Grace Cerdenia of 2Trade Asia said the market managed to rally by 101.84 points on the back of Wall Street gains and expectations that inflation is likely to be lower in December.

However, “it’s too early to tell whether we can sustain this trend,” she said.

In a note to clients, Metropolitan Bank and Trust Co. (Metrobank) said investors can expect some optimism, at least in the short-term.

“With the Dow moving back to 9,000 levels on the first US trading day last Friday, some hope for a good start in 2009 has also been restored for the local stock market,” Metrobank said.

Leading the advancers were blue chip companies Philippine Long Distance Telephone Corp., which climbed 5 percent to P2,220 while Ayala Corp. jumped P15 or 7.177 percent to P224 and affiliate Bank of the Philippine Islands gained P2.50 or 6.4935 percent to P41.

Geothermal power producer PNOC-Energy Development Corp. also went up P0.28 or 14.7368 percent to P2.18.

Meanwhile, the peso was up during the first trading day this year due to the remittance flow during the holiday season.

At the Philippine Dealing System (PDS), the peso closed P47.160 against a greenback on Monday from P47.520 on December 24 last year.

It opened P47.30 and traded to a high of P47.470 and low of P47.140 with total turnover reaching $486.5 million.

“It’s just a spillover effect from remittance flows during the long Holiday and positive stock market,” Marcelo Ayes, RCBC senior vice president said.

He added that the peso is expected to trade from P47 to P47.50 this week.

Remittances, however, are expected to grow below 10 percent this year due to the expected slower demand for Filipino workers from major economies were hit by the financial crisis.

Because of this, remittance flow would not be enough to prop the peso up by year-end, which is expected to reach P48 against the dollar. Negative news on the upcoming elections in 2010 would also weaken the currency, Ayes said.
-- With Maricel E. Burgonio

  
 

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