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Friday, June 26, 2009

 

World oil prices rise after US data report


LONDON: Oil prices gained ground on Thursday as the market digested the latest stockpiles data in leading consumer the United States which traders said was supportive overall.

The price of London’s Brent North Sea crude for August delivery rose 41 cents to $68.74 a barrel.

New York’s main futures contract, light sweet crude for August, gained 33 cents to $69.

“It’s all about gasoline at the moment,” said VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov.

The US Department of Energy said Wednesday that inventories of gasoline jumped 3.9 million barrels in the week ending June 19, compared to expectations for a gain of one million barrels.

But crude stockpiles dropped by 3.8 million barrels, steeper than the 1.3 million barrels expected by most analysts.

“A mixed enough report but somewhat supportive for crude,” Kryuchenkov noted, adding: “We are still pleased to see stable gasoline demand.”

Oil also got support on the back of a weaker US currency, which makes dollar-priced crude cheaper for buyers using stronger currencies and therefore tends to stimulate demand and push prices higher.

Conflicting signals about the strength of a recovery for the global economy have led to volatile swings in oil prices recently, with some analysts saying they have risen too fast while underlying demand is weak.

Crude oil plunged from record peaks of more than $147 in July 2008 to about $32 in December as the economic downturn hit but the market has since won back some ground on recovery hopes.

Traders meanwhile tracked post-election tensions in key crude producer Iran and fresh rebel attacks on oil facilities in Nigeria.

Asian oil trade

From Singapore, Agence France-Presse reported that oil prices turned higher in Asian trade Thursday, approaching $69 a barrel, after the greenback fell against the euro, analysts said.

The dollar’s performance is a key factor in the oil market because a stronger greenback makes the dollar-priced commodity more expensive for holders of other units, dampening demand and leading to lower prices.

The US unit had a boost Wednesday after the policy-making Federal Open Market Committee of the US central bank reaffirmed its policy of keeping interest rates at near zero.

It extended its gains against the Japanese yen, rising to 96.19 yen in Tokyo afternoon trade Thursday, from 95.62 in New York late on Wednesday. But it fell against the euro, with the European unit up at $1.3962 from $1.3926.

“It’s really the currency movement that continues to be a driver of oil prices in the near term,” said Victor Shum, a senior principal at energy consultancy Purvin and Gertz in Singapore.

Market controls

OPEC and the European Union (EU) believe that the price surge of international crude oil prices last year was mainly caused by speculation, which should be better curbed through improving financial market control.

The sixth ministerial-level meeting of the Energy Dialogue between EU and OPEC took place in Vienna on Tuesday. At a joint press conference with ministers from OPEC member states, Andris Piebalgs, European commissioner for Energy, noted that the financial market control mechanism should be improved in the future in order to better curb market speculation.

Secretary General of OPEC Abdalla Salem El-Badri also said that the surge of international oil prices to $140 a barrel last year was not caused by a shortage of supply, but by excessive speculation. He added that there was now plenty of crude oil supply in the world, and “even if the economy recovers, we still have enough crude oil to meet the increasing demand. No matter how much the world demands, we are able to supply.”

Piebalgs also noted that now the world has some six million barrels of spare capacity a day. But EU and OPEC have obvious difference of views on international oil prices.

Piebalgs said he believed that the current international oil prices would neither hinder the recovery of the world economy, nor curb further investment in the petroleum industry.

But El-Badri would like the prices to be higher, saying that “even $80 a barrel will not impact the world’s economic recovery, while $50 to $55 a barrel can not maintain re-investment.”

He also pointed out that OPEC has not cut production for the last two meetings to give the world a chance to recover. But the OPEC Ministerial Conference in September will adjust the current output quota.

President of the OPEC Conference Jose Maria Botelho de Vasconcelos, minister of Petroleum of Angola, said he hoped to boost oil prices to $80 a barrel so as to guarantee investment.

El-Badri also said on the Monday also that at least “in the foreseeable future, fossil fuels will still occupy a dominant position in the world energy mix.”
--AFP And Xinhua

   

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Severino O. Frayna Jr., Benjie Dela Rosa
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