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Monday, May 25, 2009

 

Stronger peso ahead, says BSP

 
FOREIGN portfolio investment inflows arising from improving risk appetites will complement the seasonal rise in remittances in further strengthening the peso this week, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said.

“The peso is being influenced by global developments and by inflows of remittances,” BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. , told reporters.

The local currency closed to a three-month high of 47.04 last Friday. Remittances are peaking this month, prior to the opening of classes In June.

“The movement of the peso is due in part to the movement of the dollar. What we have seen in the past few weeks, there has been some weakness in the dollar. This is partly because there has been an improvement in risk appetite that has benefited emerging markets including the Philippines in terms of portfolio flows,” Tetangco said. 

Sources said the BSP was heavily buying dollars to prevent the rapid appreciation of the peso.

Of the total registered remittances of $4.1 billion at end-March this year, BSP data showed the bulk came from the US reaching $1.676 billion, higher than Europe at $757.045 million and Middle East at $633.818 million.

Remittances from Canada reached $408.145 million, while the amount from the United Kingdom hit $195.270 million, or the biggest from Europe. Saudi Arabia registered $364.022 million, the biggest contributor from the Middle East.

Germany contributed $111.466 million and Italy registered $152 million in the first three months.

Remittances increased by 2.7 percent year-on-year to $4.1 billion in the first quarter despite the recession in major economies.

Domestic consumption is fueled by remittances, which contribute 10 percent to the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth.

A proxy for economic output, GDP represents the amount of goods and services produced locally.
-- Maricel E. Burgonio

  
 

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