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Tuesday, May 26, 2009

 

Peso touches 46-to-a-dollar

By Maricel E. Burgonio, Senior Reporter

The peso strengthened further on Monday, touching the 46-to-a-dollar level on easing risk aversion and a weaker US currency, before giving up early gains later in the day.

At the Philippine Dealing System, the local currency closed at 47.170 to the greenback from 47.040 last Friday. It opened at 46.950 and strengthened to 46.910 before weakening in the afternoon. Volume turnover reached $772.280 million.

Traders said the peso’s weakness was due to corporate demand from energy firms as they paid their obligations.

“The depreciation of the peso today is market driven due to corporate demand and partly correction,” Marcelo Ayes, RCBC senior vice president, said.

The market also priced in the expected policy rate reduction of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) and continued remittance inflows.

“The peso is expected to move sideways. The market is also looking at the pending data releases from the US such as consumer confidence and employment,” Ayes said.

He said the peso is affected by the weak US dollar, which appreciated fast last week.

Central banks in Asia are intervening in their foreign exchange markets to avoid the fast appreciation of their currencies, which primarily hurts their exports.

BSP Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo said the country has enough foreign exchange inflows to boost its reserves level, adding further foreign borrowing was no longer necessary.

“I don’t think at this point we need to tap external markets. The balance of payments [BOP] continues to be in a very healthy shape,” he told reporters.

“If you look at inflows, it continues to be robust. If you look at tell tale signs from forex market, peso-dollar rate continues to show there’s dollar liquidity in system. There’s sufficient inflow of forex from remittances,” Guinigundo said.

Earlier, Standard&Poor’s said the global recession could erode the Philippine BOP and force more foreign borrowing.

The government is setting aside P700.6 billion for debt payments this year, higher than the P681.5 billion programmed earlier and from last year’s P636 billion.

A summary of the country’s economic transactions with the rest of the world, the BOP registered a surplus of $466 million in April, a reversal from the $472-million deficit position in March, on the back of higher loans deposited by the national government.

This brought the BOP surplus to $2.198 billion at end-April, higher than the $1.732 billion in March.

The country’s gross international reserves (GIR) level is projected to reach $38 billion this year, from $37.6 billion last year.

Reserves reached $39.5 billion at end-April this year, from the $39 billion registered at end-March.

Remittances grew by 3.1 percent to $1.471 billion in March due to continued demand for Filipino skills abroad despite the global economic slowdown.

The BSP projected the BOP to reach a surplus of $700 million this year despite slower economic growth from $89 million last year.

  
 

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