Nigeria faces currency woes as oil plunges

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LAGOS: Onele Vincent and his colleagues are fed up with the rising cost of living. So they decided to do something about it and led a noisy protest at a top Lagos hotel where they work.

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“Things are more expensive, rent is high, food is high,” Vincent told Agence France-Presse last week in the lobby of the Southern Sun hotel, a favorite of the monied elite, politicians and expatriates.

“Everything has increased and yet the staff salary has remained the same.”

Vincent and the other hotel workers are far from lone voices in Nigeria, where many are feeling the pain as Africa’s biggest oil producer struggles to adapt to the record lows of global oil prices and its naira currency is under devaluation pressure.

Daily newspaper headlines warn of “Hard times ahead,” while many billboards in the commercial hub of Lagos stand stark white, just blank signs, an indication that companies are trimming costs.

Even high fliers are taking a hit. Importers of French wine complain that demand has dried up. Luxury car dealers and real estate agents say business has dwindled.

Africa’s leading economy is projected to have grown by 3.0 percent in 2015, its slowest pace in over a decade, according to an International Monetary Fund (IMF) report in January.

Unlike Norway, which invested hundreds of billions of dollars of its oil money into stocks, bonds and real estate, Nigeria spent its riches when times were good.

Now that crude prices have slumped more than two-thirds since $100 per barrel in mid-2014, Nigeria is exposed.

Dollar reserves currently stand at a low of $28 billion—$20 billion less than in April 2013. There is only enough for five months of imports for a country heavily dependent on foreign goods.

While the huge drop in oil prices is a major headache for Nigeria, analysts say it is the government’s response that is the biggest cause for concern.

The central bank governor, Godwin Emefiele, on Tuesday dismissed calls to devalue the naira in his monetary policy committee statement.

Instead he chose to continue propping up the currency at 197-199 naira to the dollar and maintain foreign-exchange restrictions.

As a result, the naira on the black market is hovering around a record low of 305, fuelling complaints from domestic and foreign businesses who can’t access dollars needed for imports.

With little domestic manufacturing and years of under-investment, mismanagement and corruption in the oil sector, Nigeria depends on imports for almost everything, from milk and machinery to petroleum products.

Jittery investors, fearing the inevitable devaluation of the naira, have held off doing business in the country until there is a clearer monetary policy.

“The situation right now is causing a lot of anxiety and uncertainty because no one knows how to plan for it,” said Anna Rosenburg, emerging markets analyst at Frontier Strategy Group.

AFP

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3 Comments

  1. This is a serious matter for workers.Will workers get the high salaries they are accustomed to.Or will the same workers be dismissed.Due to a lack of money to pay them.Peter Carlos Hinds.Commander.Barbados.

  2. They hear the song that “royalty is like a candle in the wind”.So black people want to out that candle.Peter Carlos Hinds.Commander.Barbados.

  3. They hear that royalty is like the song”a candle in the wind”.So black people want to out that candle.Peter Carlos Hinds.Commander.Barbados.