STATE weather forecasters are tracking a potential cyclone approaching from the east, which may hit Mindanao, but is not likely to become a super typhoon like Yolanda.
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Sevices Administration (Pagasa) forecaster Fernando Cada said that while their models show the potential cyclone could become a tropical depression, it cannot intensify due to the northeast monsoon’s winds.
“It is in the path of the hanging amihan. This is not conducive to typhoons because typhoons entail warm winds. So it is not true that it will be like Yolanda,” Cada said in an interview on dzBB radio.
Yolanda, which devastated Visayas and parts of Southern Luzon last November, had left more than 6,100 dead.
Cada said that as of 4 a.m., the low-pressure area (LPA) was near the boundary of the Philippine area of responsibility and may enter it within Friday.
He cited forecast models showing the LPA may become a tropical depression. Once it does, it will be locally codenamed Agaton.
Pagasa’s bulletin said the LPA was estimated at 1,460 kilometers east of Southern Mindanao, even as the northeast monsoon is affecting Luzon.
“Visayas and Mindanao will experience cloudy skies with light to moderate rainshowers and thunderstorms. Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains,” it said.
It added moderate to strong winds from the northeast will prevail over northern Luzon and the eastern sections of Luzon and of Visayas.
The coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough, it added.
Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the northeast with slight to moderate seas.