PH population to hit 142M in 2045


The Philippine population is expected to balloon to 142 million by 2045, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) said, with growth in 10 regions forecast to be faster than the national average.

In a statement on Tuesday, the PSA said its projection signified about 49 million people being added to the country’s population from 2010 to 2045, with an average annual growth at 1.21 percent.

As of May 2010, the country’s population was estimated at 92.34 million.

Over the 35-year period, the Autonomous Region for Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) is projected to have the highest average annual growth rate of 2.12 percent.

Caraga at 1.72 percent was ranked second, with Soccsksargen, the Davao Region and the Zamboanga Peninsula following with 1.47 percent, 1.41 percent and 1.37 percent, respectively.

Areas in Luzon also expected to post high population growth rates are the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR) with 1.35 percent, Calabarzon with 1.31 percent, Mimaropa with 1.58 percent and Bicol with 1.65 percent.

Eastern Visayas, meanwhile, is projected to grow by an annual average of 1.53 percent.

The Calabarzon population is expected to be the largest in 2045 at 20.1 million, followed by the National Capital Region (Metro Manila) and Central Luzon with 14.5 million each.
Western Visayas and Central Visayas will surpass the 10-million mark, with 10.4 million each in 2045. The CAR will continue to have the smallest population with 2.6 million in year 2045.

“This report presents some of the highlights of the 2010 census-based regional population projections prepared by the Philippine Statistics Authority in collaboration with the Inter-Agency Working Group on Population Projections headed by Dr. Mercedes Concepcion with members representing the Commission on Population, Department of Education, Department of Health, National Economic and Development Authority, Philippine Statistical Research and Training Institute and the University of the Philippines Population Institute,” National Statistician Lisa Grace Bersales said.


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  1. Mariano Patalinjug on

    Yonkers, New York
    06 January 2016

    Actually, the projected population of the country at 142 million by 2045 could be a conservative estimate.

    There are estimates which say that the population of the Philippines is now around 107 million, and that it is exploding at a rate which doubles it every 35 years or so, from what it is now to around 200 million by 2050 and double yet again to around 400 million by the year 2085–which is to assume, blithely, that there will be enough physical space to contain all those frail, malnourished and sickly bodies by then.

    At any rate, even assuming that the estimate of 142 million by the Philippine Statistical Authority should prove correct, one thing certain is that the present number of Filipinos who are caught in the sticky quagmire of widespread and chronic poverty, estimated to be around 30 million, will very likely swell to anywhere from 40 to 50 million by then.

    Given the Roman Catholic Church’s vigorous opposition to the creative and aggressive implementation of the Reproductive Health Law, there is no way the scourge of Poverty could be tamed let alone extirpated. Millions of fecund Filipino couples will continue to exercise their groins instead of exercising what’s inside their heads called “brains,” and completely ignore Pope Francis’ warning for them ‘NOT TO MULTIPLY LIKE RABBITS.”


  2. If the government is going to fail in its birth control education in the schools throughout the Philippine archipelago expect poverty to worsen. If the vast majority of the population is hungry, there will be social upheaval. Take my word for it.

    Birth control education now!

  3. Robert Wagner on

    Looking at it from a purely mathematical perspective, I think you will see that number surpassed by 2028 if access to birth control continues to be economically out of reach of the population sector that needs it most, the poor. This is an incredible liability for the country going forward. I’m at a loss to understand why it is not being addressed.

    • It is easy and do not be surprise, the Catholic church opposes condoms and this is not birth control pills. In my opinion, if the egg cell and the sperm cell do not meet, nobody is killing anybody . Very easy to understand yes. I am against birth control pills because there is a possibility that there is killing of unborn child. The Philippine Catholic church followed the instructions of Roman Catholics.