AN analyst believes that a political endorsement from President Benigno Aquino 3rd will doom the chosen candidate’s chances of winning in next year’s polls.
Ramon Casiple, executive director of the Institute for Political and Electoral Reforms (IPER), said a candidate endorsed by Aquino has no guarantee that he or she will be victorious especially if the president’s popularity ratings will further plunge.
“Siguradong kiss of death if his [Aquino] popularity is close to zero or net satisfaction becomes negative,” Casiple told The Manila Times.
He cited the endorsement of former president and now Rep. Gloria Arroyo of former Defense Secretary Gilbert “Gibo” Teodoro in 2009 which did not help his candidacy when he sought the presidency in 2010.
Though Aquino is running out of time to win back the trust of the public, Casiple stressed that the president should do something to improve his ratings.
“Mahigit isang taon pa naman ang term nya so kaya nya pang bumawi (He still has more than a year so maybe he can still improve his ratings),” the analyst said.
“Anything is possible given the time frame natin pero mas maliit ang chances kesa bumagsak. ‘Pag wala na siya ginawa bagsak ‘yan [ratings], so they have to do something.”
Aquino’s public satisfaction plunged to a record low in the latest Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey.
The survey, conducted from March 20 to 23, revealed that 47 percent of the respondents were satisfied with Aquino’s performance and 36 percent were dissatisfied, resulting in a net satisfaction rating of +11, which is classified as “moderate.”
The pollster also said the 2015 first quarter satisfaction rating of the president marks a 28-point drop from his “good” +39 in the December 2014 survey. It was the lowest rating since assuming the presidency.
Casiple said Aquino should continue pushing his reform agenda.
“Ipasa na nya yung Freedom of Information Bill, extend na nya yung land reform, ipasa ang anti-political dynasty law, coco levy to coconut farmers, among others,” he said.
President Aquino, he added, should leave significant legacies before his term ends.
“Yung legacy kasi may impact ‘yan beyond your term at may dating talaga sa mamamayan kasi nagbabago ang sistema. I think the Bangsamoro Basic Law (BBL) is one kasi ‘pag pumasa yun talagang legacy ‘yun beyond his term (A legacy will have an impact beyond your term because it changes the system. I think the Bangsamoro Basic Law is one because if it is passed by Congress, that will surely be his legacy),” Casiple said.
He admitted that the Aquino administration was able to pass significant legislations such as the Reproductive Health, universal health care and K-to-12 law. However, he noted that these programs were started under the administration of Arroyo, so Aquino cannol claim sole credit for them.