JOHANNESBURG: Struggling South Africa seems set for another year of labor unrest in another body blow for an economy battling high unemployment and struggling to remain the largest on the continent.
The last two years have been dark times for South African labor relations.
Pay strikes have rolled from sector to important sector—mining, manufacturing, transport—leaving a wake of red ink, protests and blood.
Unfortunately, the new year looks much like the last.
Next week the hardline Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union will move to strike at two of the world’s top three platinum producers.
Their members are demanding a “living wage”, which would imply a doubling of salaries.
After a series of increases well above the rate of inflation, the union has the bit between its teeth, and is ready to move to other sectors.
“We look forward to the wage disputes within the platinum, gold and coal sectors,” said AMCU president Joseph Mathunjwa.
Robert Besseling, of IHS Country Risk believes that platinum strikes will lead to rapid “contagion to other sectors, such as gold and coal.”
“Strikes beget strikes,” said labor analyst Andrew Levy. “If striking delivers results, it is expected to spread. That’s the situation we find in the past three years.”
After the police shot dead 34 striking miners at Lonmin’s platinum mine in Marikana, only the foolhardy would rule out the possibility of further violence.
Rivalry among unions for members has prompted more leaders to adopt a tougher stance in talks with firms.
“It’s like kidnapping the daughter of a guy and asking for $1 million but he doesn’t have $10,000,” said labor expert Peter Major from Cadiz Corporate Solutions.
Fears of company closures amid unemployment around 25 percent have not deterred the demands for a 12,500 rand ($1,200) minimum monthly wage.
“That 12,500 is nothing compared to these profits. Why do they invest this profit in London instead of investing back to where the workers are?” said AMCU’s Mathunjwa.
Analysts say that does not take into account the weak position of South African mines, who are becoming less and less competitive globally.
“Members are economically illiterate and don’t understand no company can increase wages by 150 percent,” said analyst Andrew Levy.
“The unions are to some extent . . . simply relaying what members put forward.”
“Business can’t give you an increase if it’s suicidal and they’re going close the mine,” said Major.