Too predictable

Conrad M. Cariño

Conrad M. Cariño

I find it very hard to believe that boxing superstar Canelo Alvarez is taking on Amir Khan at a catchweight of 155 pounds on May 17, 2016. Alvarez (46-1-1 with 32 knockouts), the World Boxing Council (WBC) middleweight champion, could have taken on a better opponent than Khan (31-3 with 19 KOs), who held three versions of the world junior welterweight title during his peak.

Khan was once a promising boxer and also banked on his winning the silver medal in the 2004 Athens Olympics at only 17 years old. While he has wins over some good names in boxing like Marcos Maidana, Paulie Malignaggi, Marco Antonio Barrera and Zab Judah, his stoppage losses to Danny Garcia in July 2012 and Bredis Prescott in July 2008 in the first round cast doubts on his ability to take on a big puncher. And Alvarez is definitely a bigger puncher compared to Garcia and Prescott.

The result of this title fight is just too predictable.

Is Khan so desperate to land a big fight? Perhaps, if one takes into account that he badly wanted to fight Manny Pacquiao or Floyd Mayweather Jr.

Or is Khan an “avoided” opponent? If that was so, then Garcia would have thought twice of fighting him.

At 29 years old, Khan still has five to six of good fighting years and there are a lot of notable junior or full-fledged welterweights he can take on like Juan Manuel Marquez, Kell Brook, Terence Crawford, Keith Thurman or Miguel Cotto, just to name a few. Maybe a rematch with Garcia would have been a wiser move.

But taking on Alvarez is almost tantamount to suicide and Khan would be lucky if he would last the distance with the Mexican. While Khan and Alvarez have very little disparity in height and both almost have 71-inch wingspans, the Mexican is already accustomed to fighting at 155 pounds while Khan has never tipped the scales beyond 147 pounds, which is the welterweight limit. On fight night, Alvarez could easily outweigh Khan by at least 15 pounds.

If Khan gets beaten badly on fight night, that would potentially denigrate him to a stepping stone for the younger fighters in the junior welterweight and welterweight divisions. That would essentially put to waste Khan’s remaining years in the ring, unless he gets to win big again and becomes champion in the welterweight division.

As for Alvarez, a knockout or stoppage win over Khan won’t boost his stock. And he should have picked a tougher opponent in the likes of Thurman or any full-fledged middleweight contender. Besides, Alvarez is the WBC middleweight champion so why in the world is he picking a welterweight who was a former junior welterweight champion for his next fight?

The Alvarez-Cotto fight earned the Mexican $15 million and generated 900,000 pay-per-views (PPVs) that confirmed the superstar status of Alvarez. So the logical thing for the camp of Alvarez is to come up with another fight that would guarantee their fighter $10 to $15 million while generating at least one million PPVs.

Don’t ask me how many PPVs the Alvarez-Khan fight will generate.


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1 Comment

  1. You have it spot on, Amir has little to no chance of winning this fight. But my dissapointment is with Canelo. He seems to be taking the public for a ride & its doing boxing no good at all. This fight has to end with Canelo koing Amir & if he doesnt then he isnt anywhere near as good as we think he is. & where does Amir go after this loss by ko, i have no idea, maybe retirement.
    Canelo will not fight ggg until ggg show some signs of ageing as he knows he will get ko’d as will almost every other top middleweight & thats the main reason they all avoid him