• US Dim Mak point 7: Air bases vulnerability

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    VICTOR N. CORPUS

    ON December 5, 2016, The Sun, a UK-based publication, reported: “The US is readying for World War Three with China by mobilizing 400 bases packed with warships and nukes to create a ‘perfect noose’ around the superpower.” It is part of US preparation for the possible implementation of its “Air-Sea Battle” doctrine that Pentagon planners have prepared to use against China’s “anti-access, area-denial” – a term coined by US military writers to describe China’s series of weapons systems that will prevent the US military from gaining access to potential battlefields (i.e., Taiwan, Korean Peninsula, South China Sea, East China Sea, Malacca Strait, etc.) or coming to the rescue of their principal allies in the region (Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Philippines, Singapore, Australia, etc.).

    Such military encirclement is reminiscent of the Cuban missile crisis in October 16, 1962 when the USSR emplaced its missiles in Cuba. The world was put on the brink of a nuclear war then. Military analysts may be wondering why China is so silent on the matter. Such silence can mean only two things: either China is too timid and afraid to react to this very serious US provocation; or, China is confident that it can react and win if the US makes the first move – whether it be a conventional attack or a nuclear first strike.

    China has long prepared for an event such as this. They knew that this event will eventually come when Paul Wolfowitz crafted his famous Wolfowitz Doctrine way back in the early 1990s: “Our first objective is to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival, either on the territory of the former Soviet Union or elsewhere, that poses a threat on the order of that posed formerly by the Soviet Union. This is a dominant consideration underlying the new regional defense strategy and requires that we endeavor to prevent any hostile power from dominating a region whose resources would, under consolidated control, be sufficient to generate global power. These regions include Western Europe, East Asia, the territory of the former Soviet Union, and Southwest Asia.”

    At the time, China was not yet prepared. China had not yet perfected its “assassin’s mace,” a trump card weapons’ system designed to neutralize asymmetrically the advantages of its adversary in aircraft carrier strike groups, C4ISR, and military air and naval bases harboring not only advanced stealth bombers and fighter aircraft, but its logistic and communication hubs, command and control centers, and forces-in-being. At that time, too, China’s new great walls were not yet in place (i.e., the 5,000-km strategic tunnels, underground air bases, undersea submarine monitors, air defense system on the east coast, the artificial islands with runways, subway systems for civil defense, etc.) Hence, China’s leader at the time, Deng Xiaoping, cautioned the Chinese nation: “Observe calmly; secure our position; cope with affairs calmly; hide our capacities and bide our time; be good at maintaining a low profile; and never claim leadership.”

    So, no matter how grave the US provoked China, the latter kept its cool. The US even deliberately bombed the Chinese embassy in Belgrade in 1999. Or when the US concentrated the largest naval armada (i.e. 7 aircraft carrier strike groups) massing off Taiwan in 2004, China just shrugged it off.

    Now we have this situation where “400 bases packed with warships and nukes” seem to be tightening their noose around China’s neck. Why does China seem so cool and silent? Because China, to this analyst, is simply laying a trap! How so?

    Those 400 bases, if they ever exist, cannot escape the intelligence gathering of China. Each of those bases would have been plotted as to exact GPS location, strengths, weaknesses, vulnerabilities, capabilities, major assets, and strategic importance. A corresponding barrage of missiles would have been assigned to each one of them to ensure their neutralization and destruction within the first 10 to 15 minutes of the start of armed conflict. Since China’s military doctrine mandates that China will never be the first to attack, China will just wait for the first shot to be fired by US forces; but once the US starts shooting, all those 400 bases encircling China would go up in smoke – within minutes. That is how “high-intensity war of short duration” as envisioned by Chinese strategists will be conducted.

    The US bases now surrounding China, to include those US bases surrounding Russia and Iran, are fixed, vulnerable targets that turn to weakness instead of strength for the US and its allies. China, Russia and Iran would surely concentrate on air bases harboring US stealth fighters and bombers. They will be eliminated in the initial salvo of missile barrages targeting those air bases. The elimination of these select air bases would mean the loss of air cover for US and allied forces; and the loss of air cover would mean the loss of the war itself.

    And the US with its allies would have fallen into China’s trap.

    “Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak.” – Sun Tzu

    A graduate of the Philippine Military Academy Class of 1967 and an MPA 1990 from the Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Brig. Gen. Victor N. Corpus, (AFP, retired) spent five years with the New People’s Army (1971-76); was detained for 10 years under martial law and sentenced to death by musketry; but later became chief of the Intelligence Service of the Armed Forces of the Philippines.

    viccor2003@yahoo.com

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    9 Comments

    1. Roldan Guerrero on

      Im am very sorry to say Victor Corpuz is just like Trillanes…both are KANING SUNDALO….Listening to these kind of people create so much confutions….BOTH Ex- FAILURE SOLDIERS, BOTH EX-CONVICTS….

    2. Roldan Guerrero on

      I cant gauge how obscessed is Corpuz of China`s ability to sustain a war which he calls WWIII. Every weapon and armament are gauged insuperiority according to their quality. We know what kind of products China produces. 99% are immitations and generally speaking, the word China means a garbage product. Military equipments so to speak are qualified thru long years of Research and Development (R&D) and of course succesful tests are necessary. Until now China has not produced a durable engine to fly its aircrafts which are all immitated thru hacking of foreign designs. There are viral videos showing failures of Chinese Aircraft being tested….diving to the ground just upon take off. American, European and British war weapons had already been tested in many wars.What about Chinese made weapons? Maybe if they go to war ,that will be the first time these weapons will be tested. I dont think Any Chinese made warplane can even compete with the aging F-15 Eagle which is dubbed as MIG Killer. Will Chinese made aircraft be more superior than a Soviet made Aircraft?. I am just an ordinary citizen, not a general but I am aware of the basics of any competition, just like in car racing, the probable winner is dependent of the kind of the car and the driver, such that in warplanes, it is the quality of the aircraft and the pilot that determines who wins a dog fight.

    3. MARIANO PATALINJUG on

      Yonkers, New York
      02 March 2017

      Victor N. Corpus’s obviously intimate knowledge of China’s multiple defenses against its probable adversary, the United States, creates the impression that he is a high-ranking official of the PLAN or of the PLA-N; he has exposed material that is supposed to be under wraps and should not be known by a possible adversary.

      The impression Brig. Gen. Corpus creates is that with all of China’s defense and offensive preparations, the United States is pretty much a “dead duck” in the event of a military confrontation.

      That is simplistic and even false.

      The FACT is that the United States is well-prepared to take on China, DEFENSIVELY and then OFFENSIVELY, in the event China should provoke a military confrontation. In the event, China could be pushed back to the STONE AGE.

      MARIANO PATALINJUG
      patalinjugmar@gmail.com

    4. arnel amador on

      there will be no war. they know it will be the end. all loser no winner….

    5. Eddie Consunji Jr on

      Ha Ha Ha!. dream on Brig Gen Corpus. Your commentary is as old and obsolete as your communist mind and military strategy. I’ll bet made in china’s missile may not even be able to cross the pacific to touch Guam or Hawaii. 11-12 nuclear powered aircraft carriers w/ lethal airwings aboard vs 1 rusty Chinese carrier bought from Russia? …force multiplier are the silent “undersea assasins” of ballistic nuclear submarine fleet lurking around undetected plus long range stealth bombers from Japan, Guam, Hawaii, Diego Garcia…plus sophisticated eye in the sky US Mil Satellites…..It is game over halfway in the Pacific! …..poor China. You are landlocked on the north by Russia, bounded on the Eastern Pacific by Japan/Korea on the west are countries who does not share your ideologies. Where else can you go except the “brown water” of South China Sea where your Navy will be decimated before entering the “Blue Pacific” own by the US Navy. Anytime Baby.

    6. Hehehehe, Chinese Strategist.

      I remember back in the day a chinese military strategist declared with absolute certainty that the US would not be able to invade Iraq with the russian defenses that iraq had and the highly trained personnel.

      Then it turned out the US military went thru Iraq like a hot knife through butter.

      Suffice it to say that chinese military strategist was never heard of again.

      Geeez, everybody with even a small amount of intelligence know that china = fake.

      Their govt is fake, their people are fake.

      China hasn’t fought a war for sometime. It just might turn out that before the PLA can even attempt to counter punch, they’d be dead in the water, so to speak. And it would be all over.

      Well except for the operations to seek out the CCP leaders and Military higher ups for war crimes or just plain to be executed.

      What a joke of a country.

    7. Clearly the writer has raised an argument. Being a former commie, he is pro china. The art of war by sun tzu was in his mind and heart. The art of war is being taught in every military school not only in america but in the whole world. The formula for this problem (argument) is similar to :
      is ax (>, <, =) cx ? where: x = mastery of sun tzu
      a = technology + defense budget of U.S
      b = technology + defense budget of China
      Just for fun, doomsayers

    8. The US bases are not going to to be stagnant waiting for chinese missiles to rain on them. Before the initial salvo is fired, preparations for protections for such critical bases are planned and put into place. If the US takes the initiative to attack china first, it will utilize some of these critical bases for the initial strikes and some bases to counter china’s intial counter punch. But as china counter punch, some of these bases will continue to attack china’s military control and military structures. The initial salvo from the US should impact, limit, and dimished china’s ability to strike back and not be able to rain missiles on and destroy the 400 bases or at least most of the critical fighters and bombers bases. Also, there are the movable bases (aircraft carriers and armada) that can deliver lethal punches to keep china off balance as it will try to strike back. These movable bases are more difficult to pinpoint location wise and are fairly protected, despite china’s advertised df carrier killer missiles. Just my thoughts to the discussion.

    9. The greedy China badly needs to control the fish, natural gas and oil in that water area of conflict. If it will be the start of WWIII for the reason that the international law violator cheating China does not release their stolen artificial islands, the start of WWW III will be between Japan and China. They had been enemies since time immemorial. Japan will win it. It will not prolong as a WWWIII. Then the USA will neutralize everything after China’s defeat!