• Will Poe set new records?

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    SEN. Grace Poe, unless she’s disqualified, will be the first major presidential candidate in Philippine political history without any political party.

    She had already set a record in getting more than 20 million votes in topping the 2013 senatorial elections. (Our fellow Times columnist, former Comelec Commissioner Gus Lagman, suspected that her votes were massaged for at one time during the canvassing, her votes were more than the total number of votes counted.) This is better appreciated when compared to the 15.2 million votes credited to BS Aquino in 2010 and the 10.7 million in 1998 to Erap Estrada. She could set a new record if she could successfully hurdle challenges to her qualifications to run for president in the next polls.

    The idea of a major presidential candidate running as independent is mind-boggling. Running without a political party in a local election is already hard enough; doing so in a national election is even more daunting. Of course, as long as Poe remains high in surveys, she’ll have little problem in attracting campaign donors. But getting funds isn’t enough in running an effective national campaign.

    I remember that then Chief Justice Marcelo Fernan announced his candidacy for president in the 1992 election. His integrity and competence were unquestioned. He was creating an uproar in political circles. He had many supporters from the Makati Business Club. That’s when he realized a major problem: he had the money but how could he distribute it nationwide without a political party?

    The end result was, Fernan decided to run for vice president instead under the Laban ng Demokratikong Pilipino ticket of then Speaker Ramon V. Mitra. Should Poe remain true to her word to run without any political party, she’ll definitely face the same problem as that which confronted the late Fernan. If she could surmount this, then she’ll be blazing a new trail in Philippine political history.

    There are reports of many local politicians set to join the Poe “bandwagon.” If she could maintain their support until election time, then she’ll remain a formidable candidate. But how?

    Vice President Jojo Binay will not certify as UNA candidates those who’ll be supporting Poe. Neither will Sec. Mar Roxas for Liberals. Now, I wonder if local established candidates will be willing to forgo their party affiliation to support Poe. In post-EDSA presidential elections, most of the local candidates had relied on presidential candidates for additional funding. They are apt to junk their party’s standard bearer if they couldn’t get the promised or expected logistical support. That’s why it takes billions to run a credible presidential campaign.

    Remember that being independent, the candidates can’t claim any party funding depending on the number of registered voters. Already partyless, will the local candidates be willing to forget also funding support from Poe? If so, then a new dawn will be setting in Philippine politics.

    Now, let’s say many politicians, including Romeo Jalosjos, are willing to run under her ticket without getting any funding support, are they assured of being “anointed” as her local candidates? If she’ll eventually decide to have local candidates also, she may have to appear onstage with them in her local campaign, and this may rile supporters of rival candidates.

    Now, some political parties with no credible presidential candidate may be tripping over themselves trying to entice her to be their official standard bearer. Should she accede rather than thumb her nose at them, then she’ll no longer be an independent candidate in the true sense of the word.

    No topnotcher in senatorial elections has ever gone on to become president. Oh yes, Gloria Macapagal Arroyo was No. 1 in 1995 but her victory in 2004 is still being doubted. Should Poe win in 2015, again unless she’s disqualified, then she’ll be the very first topnotcher to make it to Malacañang.

    Presidential debates

    I just watched the second Republican presidential debates over CNN and I hope a similar one will be staged in the Philippines. One prominent feature of that debate was asking individual hopefuls to comment on controversial statements of their rivals.  I am told the first was even better. It was organized by Fox and shown on Fox network channels.
    Should one be conducted in the Philippines, CNN-Philippines would be a preferred host. It has Pia Hontiveros whom I consider one of television’s two best political reporters, the other being Lynda Jumilla of ANC. Pia gained more admirers with her handling of the Iglesia Ni Cristo controversy.

    19espiloy47@gmail.com

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    6 Comments

    1. Grace Poe should be allowed to use Llamanzares on the ballot. She should not use Poe,it us see if her popularity will be the same As a candidate to seek for higher government position, she should use Llamanzares as a respect to her husband. Susan Roces should tell her daughter Grace to be respectful to her husband,all Grace wants is to use Poe because she is so ambitious to be president of the Philippines.

    2. It’s a strategy probably thought by Chiz to get the other parties financial support on their side. If our country is run by popularity perhaps the answer is yes.
      But fortunately there are many Filipinos who can not be influenced by glamor and popularity. We should not allow our country run by actors and actresses.

      • The biggest problem is the lack of good presidential contenders. Only one good candidate is Mar Roxas but it appears in the survey that he is no. 3 if surveys are dependable. Poe and escudero failed miserably during the INC uprising. Binay is scandal ridden moving his billion pesos account to foreign banks per AMLAC. Mar Roxas is the only candidate that has the conviction to rise against the the INC occult. I will say that a unified Catholic voters must show this country that Catholic voters is a force to recon with. Show the INC that we catholics are not weaking and push over. It is time for CBCP to tell the catholics who to vote not poe not escudero and not binay. Let us unite for Mar Roxas.

    3. The 44 million Filipino internet users will be the game changers. The voters do not rely anymore on local candidates to endorse whom they want to vote as President especially if he or she is extremely popular. Messaging is the key and tv ads if they have noney can carry them to the sleeping rooms and sala of the voters. The only remaining IF is will these leading candidates be able to protect their votes especially that PCOS will be used again.

    4. A new record of the first American Senator ousts by SET and SC. A SC decision promulgated last august 18, 2015. When a dual citizen travels abroad and used their foreign passport ,just like the case of Grace Poe , American passport from 2006 to 2009., will automatically forfeits their dual citizenship . The First Presidential candidate to be disqualified even if she has not filed yet her COC. ha.ha.ha. Partido ng Pilipinas of chiz ahas is a BLUFF. 200 balimbing who jumps early will end up nothing. If GP WILL BE DISQUALIFIED BECAUSE OF THE CURRENT SC RULING, The Partido ng Pilipinas will die spontaneously even before the campaign starts. kawawa ang mga balimbing.

    5. Palagay ng marami, hindi lang ito una sa kasaysayan ng pulitika sa bansa, Guines of World Record din ito maging sa buong mundo….walang alam ang marami na may nakaupo at may nanalong presidente (Africa, Americas, EUROPE, ASIA and even in South EAst Asia) na walang political party…..

      Sa campus politics na lang for example, imposible kang manalo sa Student Council na wala kang kinapapaloobang academic organization, fraternities or club man lang..PAGTATAWANAN ka lang..

      ang isa pang dilema ng pagiging INDEPENDENT ng POE-ESCU ay hindi ito bibigyan ng POLL WATCHERS sa mga precints, ng Comelec – board of election inspector p-BEI), Only Administration Party (LP) at ang major Opposition Party (UNA) ang bibigyan ng POLL WATCHERS sa mga presinto at copu ng ELECTION RETURN.. Kahit na mismo ang NPC (Nationalist People’s Coalition) ay excluded sa Poll watchers provions sa mga presinto…